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👋 Hey, Olivia!
Zillow is predicting home prices to fall? Did I hear that right? I know there are a lot of wild predictions out there these days, but when the traditionally optimistic Zillow sours on the housing market, it’s time to take notice.
Say what you will about Zestimates (anyone have something nice to say?), but Zillow’s team has been fairly accurate in the last few years with their broader market forecasts, so when their forecast turns sharply negative, it’s worth a deeper look.
I dug through their data this week, and also brought in some other sources I rely on, and wrote up my analysis of where housing prices are heading, both nationally and at a regional level here.
And by the way, even if prices do turn negative, is that a cause for concern or an opportunity?
Let the debate begin.
- Dave Meyer, Head of Real Estate Investing at BiggerPockets
In this issue:
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⛈️ An Economic Storm? – How two converging trends could wreak havoc on the U.S. economy. |
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Zillow predicts the national housing market to decline 1.9% over the next year, but there are huge regional differences projected. Read my analysis and what’s expected in your market here! |
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| There are two economic trends concerning me lately. On their own, they aren’t alarming—but together, they could spark a storm we haven’t seen in over 40 years. One of those trends is stagflation, a rare mix of high inflation and economic stagnation. As someone who analyzes market trends obsessively, I think real estate investors should understand what stagflation is, why it’s resurfacing in today’s conversations, and how it could shape investment strategy if it returns.
Stagflation isn’t just an economic buzzword—it’s a uniquely challenging environment where traditional monetary tools lose their effectiveness. In the 1970s, a mix of oil shocks, loose policy, and global instability led to falling GDP alongside surging inflation. The Federal Reserve was trapped: raise rates and risk a deeper recession, or lower them and pour fuel on inflation. Today, rising tariffs could spark similar dynamics by raising consumer prices while suppressing economic growth. If you want a deeper dive into how stagflation could impact real estate and how to prepare as an investor, check out my full breakdown here. |
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As a landlord, adjusting rent is key to staying competitive and covering rising costs. This requires research, auditing finances, and understanding local demand.
After researching local landlord-tenant laws, you should review your operating expenses, consider the rental market's condition, and research local rental comps.
Luckily, the Avail Rent Analysis report can help you with the process! It provides local comps, market trends, rent changes, and more, all in an easy-to-read format.
Plus, Avail can also help you: |
- Find renters with free listings;
- Screen leads with TransUnion reports;
- Close the deal with lawyer-reviewed leases;
- Collect rent securely online.
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Finding good deals in 2025 can be confusing, but Brian Burke, a seasoned investor who pretty much always gets it right, got me pretty excited about this potential sweet spot that’s achievable for almost all investors. |
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| Deferred is the NO FEE 1031 Qualified Intermediary with over 6,800+ Happy Clients & 100% 5-Star Reviews. Enjoy a secure, seamless process and earn up to 2.5% APY on your exchange funds. |
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